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Stephen Brodhay Wins August 25, 2012, AHC Handicapping Contest
Richard Ryan and Bernard Williams Round Out the Top Three
“Pure luck,” responded Stephen Brodhay when I asked how he amassed his total of $626.80 to win the most recent handicapping contest in this summer’s Arlington Handicapping Challenge (AHC) series.
I don’t think so. It may have been fortuitous that Brodhay’s scores fell into place as they did, but there was handicapping, and money management, behind it.
“I’m a longshot player,” Brodhay explained. “My goal for the contest was to play two entries and look for legitimate longshots going off at 10-1 or better at the three tracks I follow, and bet them win-place.
“My first entry bombed out,” admitted Brodhay. “But, fortunately, I was able to hit some bets on my second card.
“I started with a horse I liked at Monmouth who won at just over 10-1,” Brodhay continued. “Then it was on to Saratoga for the Travers.
“The Travers looked like a paceless race to me, so I looked for horses that could be on or near the lead,” Brodhay revealed. “I came down to Alpha and Golden Ticket. Alpha was going off as the 2-1 favorite and Golden Ticket was going off at 33-1, so I put a win-place bet on that one. As you know, both horses dead-heated for win so I got a $26.80 win mutual and $26.40 for place.”
Brodhay again shifted his emphasis. “It was Arlington’s last race and there was a heavy favorite, Catalano’s All Her Class at even money,” he detailed. “Then I saw the Stidham first starter, Every Way, was going off at 10-1. So I bet the Stidham horse win and place, plus an exacta box with the favorite. With Every Way winning I picked up a nice mutual, and the favorite coming second gave me the exacta ($53 for $2).
“In sum, I couldn’t hit anything all afternoon until I started my three-race lucky sequence, and within 15 minutes I had my total of $626.80,” concluded Brodhay.
His first-place finish earns Brodhay a paid entry, worth $1,000, into the November 24 Twin Spires On-Line Handicapping Championship (TSOHC). Should he finish in the top 20 in the TSOHC, Brodhay will win a paid trip to Las Vegas to compete in the January, 2013, DRF/NTRA National Handicapping Championship (NHC). Should he finish in the next 80 he will be going to the February, 2013, Coast Casinos Horseplayer World Series (HWS). The odds of him winning his way to Las Vegas are 7-2 since the TSOHC is capped at 350 contestants. The two national tourneys offer top prizes of approximately $750,000 and $300,000, respectively.
Our second- and third-place finishers from last Saturday still can earn their way into the TSOHC. Second-finisher Richard Ryan earns a berth into the next monthly Twin Spires contest which feeds into the TSOHC, and third-finisher Bernard Williams will compete in a weekly Twin Spires contest to keep his chances of a TSOHC berth alive.
Richard Ryan has played in past Arlington handicapping contests but this was the time this summer. He came in with a definite goal. “I decided to divide my starting bankroll into five $20 win bets and set a goal of $700 for an ending bankroll, figuring that might be enough to win.” It would have been, as it turns out.
“I made my bets at Saratoga and Monmouth and hit three of the five,” revealed Ryan. “That put my bankroll over $500 so I decided I had to keep going to get over $700.
“I made some $50 bets at Del Mar and couldn’t hit, so my bankroll fell back. If I hadn’t had a dinner engagement that evening I’d probably still be at Arlington, chasing that $700,” Ryan quipped.
“But it was fun, and I’m looking forward to playing again,” Ryan concluded.
To view the standings from last Saturday’s handicapping contest, click here.
For complete information on the 2012 AHC Summer Series of free handicapping seminars and contests, including dates and rules, click here and scroll down to the AHC story.
Your final chance to join us on-track for the last AHC series event is Saturday, September 15, in the Starting Gate Theater where we begin with my free handicapping seminar at noon then offer a free handicapping contest to award another three chances to work on winning your way to Las Vegas.
We want to send you to Las Vegas but you can’t win it unless you get in it! See you at Arlington!
M. Scott McMannis
- Handicapping Seminar and Contest Host, Arlington Park
- Midwest Correspondent, The HorsePlayer Magazine
- Owner and Publisher, The McMannis Speed Figure & Trip Note Service Newsletter,
- Arlington Trainer Patterns,
- Hawthorne Trainer Patterns